by Benjamin Shobert
Earlier this year I had the opportunity to connect with someone who
has a front-row seat to China’s hospital privatization. Positioned to
see deal-flow in real time, I asked the question of whether the actual
inbound investments were what either the Chinese government or
institutional investors expected after China’s recent attempts to prime
the privatization engine. The person very carefully but candidly
pointed out that thus far, actual deal flow had not been what they were
expecting.
Some of this reflects unrealistic expectations on the part of foreign capital who misread changes to China's FDI catalogue that allowed foreign ownership of hospitals
and healthcare institutions. These disappointed investors
misunderstood that China’s process of opening this sector to foreign
capital would be gradual
and would initially favor private investment and ownership by domestic
players over foreign entrants. Regardless, my contact noted that
results thus far were not what many had expected.
Recently, the leading Chinese think tank covering the country’s healthcare system, CN Healthcare, published its results on investment in China’s hospital space.
Bai Liping, the lead researcher and author of the report, shared with
me that her objective was to address what she as misinformation about
what was happening relative to private capital coming into China’s
hospital sector. She added, “no one actually knows what the entire
picture is like. There is no good overview, [which means that] everyone
is operating in the dark with small pieces of information but without a
comprehensive overview.” What CN found was private investment over
$1.716 billion (USD), the majority of which was coming from domestic
Chinese investors who were targeting China’s growing middle class. Most
foreign capital that had made its way to China’s hospital sector has
thus far been directed towards the high-end consumer, fed initially by
the expat market, but now increasingly catering to China’s own upper
class who want western healthcare and service.
Liping noted that one of their most surprising findings
was who had made most of the investments thus far: “in China, so far it
is the [domestic Chinese] pharmaceutical companies that are building
and managing hospitals.” Why is this? Because thus far, the primary
way investors have been able to make money in China’s healthcare economy
is not through the delivery of healthcare, but the profits from the
purchase and sale of pharmaceuticals and devices to the consumer. CN’s
research suggests that, as Liping pointed out, “there is not much money
to be made so far on the management of hospitals … the opportunity is in
the supply chain where the hospital can establish a separate company
that purchases pharmaceuticals or disposable medical products directly
from the manufacturer at the wholesale price.” With the middleman out
of the way, the hospital becomes a profitable enterprise by capturing a
portion of the margin that previously would have gone to the
distributor. If this sounds perverse, it is another reminder that in
China the money to be made thus far in healthcare is heavily weighted
towards goods, and much less so towards services. Among the many
reasons private foreign capital is not racing into China may not only be
regulatory barriers, but the inability of private hospitals to make
money on the delivery of care versus the sale of products.
The overall amount of invested capital that CN Healthcare identified
will need to go up dramatically if China is to accomplish its goal of
seeing 20% of all in-and-out patient traffic be routed through private healthcare institutions by 2020.
For this goal to be achieved, inbound investment will need to go up by
an order of magnitude, something that will only happen if several things
happen. First, the remaining restrictions on foreign capital need to
be relaxed. While it is conceptually possible for hospital Wholly
Foreign Owned Enterprises (WFOEs) to exist, and a handful already do in
China’s the space, there are too many roadblocks between what is
possible in theory and what is achievable in practice.
Second, if China’s Ministry of Health is at all serious about its
privatization scheme, which allows private capital to take over a public
hospital, then the government needs to make sure the newly privatized
entity can operate as a truly private, for-profit enterprise and not
some intermediate sort of entity that comes up short of what both the
government and the private-sector investors hope. This would mean as a
starting point, making it easier for the private operator to change
pensions and employment regulations specific to doctors and nurses
within the hospital.
Third, China needs to expand the country’s yi bao program to
cover more procedures and at the same time, to ensure this spending can
be applied towards procedures completed within a privately owned
hospital. This sort of flexibility in payment would be an important
signal to the private sector and institutional investors abroad that
China is serious about setting in motion a viable for-profit hospital
sector and is willing to see government reimbursement get directed
towards private operators. This step would also help hospitals get rid
of their over-reliance on pharmaceutical and device sales as a means of
generating revenue, something that desperately needs to happen.
The last two years have seen a marked increase on the part of
domestic Chinese and foreign investors to deploy capital within China’s
hospital sector. The country’s policy makers are eager and willing to
make this happen, even if their efforts thus far have fallen short. As
CN Healthcare’s recent research makes clear, the amount of capital going
to work in this area is increasing, even if so far it is being used in
ways that seem to reinforce old habits around over-prescribing and
over-utilization of un-necessary diagnostics.
Source: Forbes
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